Maoist Center fails to impress urban voters

Published On: May 22, 2017 07:38 AM NPT By: Kosh Raj Koirala  | @KoshRKoirala

KATHMANDU, May 21: Although the CPN (Maoist Center) made considerable gains in the  local elections as compared to its performance  in the Constituent Assembly (CA) election held in 2013, the former rebel outfit seems to have largely failed to impress urban voters.

As  vote counting continues in various major cities in  Provinces 3, 4 and 6 that went to local polls last week, the ruling Maoist Center does not appear to be headed for much victory, although it is close on the heels of the UML mayoral candidate in Bharatpur Metropolitan City as of Sunday evening.

While  Maoist Center failed to bag any post of mayor or chairperson in any of the local units in Lalitpur district except for one in Konjyosom  Rural Municipality in the south of the district, the party faced a humiliating defeat in all local units in Bhaktapur district. 

Likewise, the party  has not been able to win any elected positions except for two ward chairmanships in Chandragiri Municipality in Kathmandu district.

The situation of Maoist Center in major cities outside Kathmandu Valley is  similar. While the party trails  in Bharatpur Metropolitan City for the mayoral position despite  an electoral alliance with Nepali Congress, the largest party in parliament,   Maoist Center lags way behind in the ongoing vote count in Pokhara Metropolitan City.

This is in stark contrast to its victories in seven out of the 10 constituencies in Kathmandu district and all three constituencies in Lalitpur district during the first CA election  in 2008, barely two years after the party joined mainstream politics following the decade-long armed insurgency. Likewise,  Maoist Center bagged  most of the election constituencies in Kaski and Chitwan  that are considered urban districts like the districts in Kathmandu Valley, in  2008. 

Nevertheless, the party’s victories in the race for mayors and deputy mayors in Chautara Muncipality in Sindhpalchowk district, Thaha Municipality in Makawanpur, Madi Municipality in Chitwan, and Musikot Municipality in Rukum, among a few others, have provided some consolation. 
How then did urban dwellers become disenchanted with the Maoists? 

Experts argue that the Maoists faced defeat in city areas as their activities over the years failed to impress urban dwellers who had  given them the  benefit of the doubt back in  2008. “Urban dwellers, intellectuals and conscious voters had given the party the benefit of the doubt during the 2008 election. There was both hope and fear,” said political analyst Geja Sharma Wagle. 

As the years went by, the Maoists not only became involved in various controversial activities including corruption scandals but also faced a party split  ahead of the second CA poll in 2013. 
As a result, out of the total of 601 seats in the Constituent Assembly, the Maoists could bag only  84 seats including 26  under first past the post. Although this was a sizeable showing the seats were not for city areas. The number of seats that the Maoists secured in the first CA elections was 237, including 122 under first past the psot.

“Of course,  urban voters were opposed to  Maoist ideology right since the beginning. As the days passed, the hopes that voters initially had of the Maoists faded,” Wagle further said. 

Of the total 283 rural municipalities, municipalities and metropolitan cities in Provinces 3, 4 and 6 that saw local level polls on May 14,  Maoist Center has bagged top positions in 46 units as of Sunday evening. This is widely seen as a ‘respectable win’ as compared to  the second CA polls  in 2013. 

Experts attribute this to the positive role that Maoist Center played in the promulgation of the new constitution in 2015 and the success of Prime Minister Pushpa Kamal Dahal in holding the local polls in at least in three provinces despite various odds and uncertainties.

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