Young voters pick either Prakash Man Singh or Rabindra Mishra as the winner
Identical shares of voters ages 18-24 (38%) think either Prakash Man Singh (NC) or Rabindra Mishra (Bibeksheel-Sajha) will be the winner. Just over half of voters ages 30-39 (54%) and 40-49 (59%) say Prakash Man Singh will win.
Former Prime Minister Madhav Kumar Nepal is the clear pick across voters with varying levels of education
Strong majorities across most education levels think Madhav Kumar Nepal (CPN-UML) will win in their area. Notably, only voters who have passed SLC and above think Bibeksheel-Sajha’s Surya Raj Acharya might win.
While Gagan Thapa is the favorite, Rajan Bhattarai also comes up as the winner among those who said they considered both the party and the candidate when casting their vote
Voters were asked whether the party or the candidate was more of a deciding factor for them. Gagan Thapa (NC) is the pick among both voters who though party was more important and those who considered the candidate more. However, among those who said they considered both the candidate and the party when deciding for whom to vote, similar shares pick Gagan Thapa of the Nepali Congress (35%) and Rajan Bhattarai of CPN-UML (31%).
Views do not vary much among women and men
Similar shares of men and women think either of the candidates in their area will win. However, Iswor Pokharel (CPN-UML) has a slight edge among men and Ujjwal Bahadur Thapa (Bibeksheel-Sajha) among women.
Jhakku Prasad Subedi is the pick among those who considered the party more when giving their vote
Voters were asked whether the party or the candidate was more of a deciding factor for them. Similar shares who considered the candidate or who said both were deciding factors pick either Bhimsen Das Pradhan (NC) or Jhakku Prasad Subedi (CPN-Maoist Centre). But, among those who consider the party as more important in their voting decision, Jhakku Prasad Subedi is the favorite to win.
Prakash Kunwar has wide support
Prakash Kunwar(NC BP)is the pick when voters across age groups are asked who would win in their area. Anup Shrestha (BibeksheelSajha) is a favorite among those aged 65 and over.
The CPN-UML and Nepali Congress candidates are the favorites to win among those who said the party was the more important factor in their ballot choice
Voters were asked whether the party or the candidate was more of a deciding factor for them. Among those who think party is more important, similar shares think the CPN-UML candidate Jivan Ram Shrestha (42%) or the NC candidate Navindra Raj Joshi (46%) will win. Those who considered the candidate as more of a deciding factor and voters who found both the party and candidate as important factors in their vote pick Navindra Raj Joshi
The youngest voters offer mixed opinions as to who will be the winner in their area
A closely watched demographic, voters ages 18-24 give differing answers when asked who they think will win in their area—35% say Nava Raj Silwal (CPN UML), 33% Keshav P. Timilsina (BibeksheelSajha), and 25% mention UdayaSamsher JB Rana (NC).