#OPINION

Nepal at the Crossroads: Navigating Great Power Politics amid Internal Challenges

Published On: September 27, 2024 08:35 AM NPT By: Nabraj Lama

In an era where global interconnectedness is the norm, smaller nations often find themselves intricately entwined in the strategies and ambitions of larger powers. Nepal, a country rich in cultural diversity and strategic significance, epitomizes this complex dynamic. Nestled between China and India—two emerging global giants—Nepal's geopolitical landscape is a microcosm of the broader interplay of international power politics. The nation's pursuit of progress and stability is profoundly influenced by the interests and interventions of great powers, making its path forward both challenging and pivotal.

The modern world leaves little room for isolation. States must interact and interconnect to survive, sustain, and progress. While the ideal of absolute sovereignty—where a nation fully determines its own fate—is appealing, the reality is often shaped by external forces. The extent to which a country can independently chart its course is frequently constrained by the strategic interests of more influential nations. Nepal's experience underscores this reality as it navigates the complexities of maintaining autonomy while engaging with powerful neighbors and world powers.

Nepal's unique geopolitical position is both an asset and a vulnerability. Geographically, it serves as a bridge between two of the world's most populous and rapidly developing countries. This proximity has heightened Nepal's strategic importance on the global stage. However, the nation's status as one of the least developed countries highlights significant internal challenges. Deep-rooted socio-economic backwardness, coupled with political instability and fragility, has left Nepal susceptible to external influences and interventions.

Since the 1990s, Nepal has undergone a series of political transformations. The transition from monarchy to democracy, the drafting of a new constitution through the Constituent Assembly, and the formation of successive governments have been marked by instability. Notably, no administration, including the recent one led by Prime Minister Pushpa Kamal Dahal, has completed a full term. This political volatility has hindered consistent policy implementation and made Nepal more vulnerable to the strategic designs of external powers.

The involvement of international powers in Nepal is evident through initiatives like the Millennium Challenge Corporation (MCC) agreement with the United States, China's Belt and Road Initiative (BRI), and the agreement with India that allows India to directly fund the projects in Nepal up to Rs 200 million. Both projects and the Nepal-India agreement symbolize the broader competition between major global power and emerging powers for influence in strategically important regions. Nepal's participation in these initiatives reflects the intense interest these countries have in its development and alignment. However, this mixed engagement also places Nepal in a delicate position, as it must balance relationships without alienating any of its powerful neighbors.

Internally, Nepal grapples with significant socio-economic and cultural challenges. Despite never having been colonized externally, there are internal dynamics that resemble forms of colonization. Certain nations within the modern state of Nepal feel marginalized and excluded from the nation's progress. The rich tapestry of Nepalese ethnicity, cultures, and geographies has not always been reflected in inclusive governance or equitable development. Indigenous nations and marginalized communities often find themselves on the periphery of modern state discourse and decision-making processes.

The fall of the monarchy and the establishment of a federal democratic republic is supposed to raise hopes for a more inclusive and equitable society. However, the reality has been more complex. International powers, while investing resources to stabilize Nepal politically and economically, have often engaged primarily with established political elites and institutions. This approach has sometimes overlooked the marginalized communities whose participation is crucial for the state's sustainable development. The recent protests by marginalized communities in Kathmandu on Constitution Day highlight their feelings of exclusion and the urgency of addressing their concerns.

Realist theories of international relations suggest that great powers act primarily in their self-interest, seeking to maximize their influence and secure strategic advantages. In this context, international engagement with Nepal may prioritize geopolitical interests over the nuanced needs of its diverse population. However, neglecting the aspirations and grievances of marginalized groups can lead to long-term instability, ultimately undermining both Nepal's progress and the strategic interests of external powers.

For Nepal to achieve meaningful and sustainable progress, a recalibration of both internal policies and external engagements is necessary. Recognizing and empowering excluded and marginalized indigenous nations and communities is not only a matter of social justice but also a strategic imperative. These groups are essential stakeholders in Nepal's future, and their inclusion can lead to more cohesive national development.

International powers engaging with Nepal have a significant role to play in this process. By adopting approaches that are inclusive and responsive to the needs of all segments of Nepalese society, they can contribute positively to the country's stability and prosperity. This involves moving beyond engagements that focus solely on strategic interests or established political actors and embracing a more focused perspective that incorporates indigenous nations and marginalized communities as strategic partners.

A key aspect of this approach is fostering inclusive dialogue. International actors can facilitate platforms where marginalized communities have the opportunity to voice their concerns and participate actively in shaping development initiatives. Such engagement ensures that projects and policies are grounded in the realities of those they are intended to benefit, increasing their effectiveness and sustainability. By actively listening to these communities, international partners can tailor their support to address specific needs, fostering a sense of ownership and collaboration.

Furthermore, investing in capacity building is crucial. By focusing on the political rights and economic opportunities of marginalized groups, international partners can help address the root causes of socio-economic disparities. Empowering these communities enhances their ability to contribute meaningfully to national development and fosters a sense of inclusion.

These efforts require a nuanced understanding of Nepal's social fabric and a commitment to long-term engagement that transcends immediate strategic interests. International powers must recognize that their actions have profound impacts on the internal dynamics of the countries they engage with. By aligning their strategies with the aspirations of all Nepalese citizens, they can foster goodwill and contribute to regional stability.

Nepal's path forward is inherently tied to its ability to navigate the complexities of great power politics while addressing its internal challenges. The nation's strategic location will continue to attract the attention of global powers, making it imperative that Nepal cultivates a foreign policy that leverages these interests without compromising its sovereignty or social cohesion.

Internally, fostering unity and inclusivity is essential. The government must take proactive steps to ensure that all communities feel represented and have equitable access to opportunities. This includes revisiting policies that have historically marginalized certain groups and implementing reforms that promote social justice and equality. Strengthening institutions, promoting transparency, and ensuring that development initiatives are inclusive can help build trust and cooperation among diverse populations.

The interplay of external and internal factors in Nepal's development underscores the importance of a holistic approach to nation-building. While external support and investment are valuable, they must be complemented by strong internal governance and a commitment to inclusivity. Only by addressing both dimensions can Nepal achieve sustainable progress.

In conclusion, Nepal stands at a critical juncture in its history. The nation's ability to navigate the challenges posed by great power politics, internal divisions, and socio-economic development will shape its future trajectory. International powers have a responsibility to engage constructively, supporting Nepal's efforts to build a more inclusive and prosperous society. By recognizing the importance of marginalized communities and fostering genuine partnerships, both Nepal and its international partners can work towards a shared vision of stability and progress.

 The road ahead is undoubtedly complex, but with thoughtful engagement and a commitment to inclusivity, Nepal can harness its unique position to become a bridge between cultures and a model for navigating the challenges of the modern world. The nation's rich diversity and strategic significance are assets that, if leveraged effectively, can contribute to a brighter future for all its people.